Dad, political sociologist, local councillor, drummer from Malta

Monday, August 01, 2016

Profile of an ISIS recruit

Picture: The Laacharoui brothers

What motivates ISIS terrorists? This was the question asked by Jeff Goodwin, a global sociological authority on the study of social movements, during the recent International Sociological Association forum in Vienna, in which I participated.
I was very curious to see what Goodwin had to say about ISIS, both as a sociologist but also as a father who, like many people, feels an eerie sense of anxiety with the terrorism phenomenon.
It is as if terrorism is now a fact of life, a lottery of death for persons busy living their lives in different continents. And if the terrorist imagery is now so present in public discourse, it is very important to understand what it is and what it is not.
I am very wary of quick-fix replies and rock-solid certainties which come so easy to various populists of our times. Such rhetoric can, of course, offer nice sound bites but this is not often reflected in informed and evidence-based policy formulation. Indeed, I believe that if we need answers that can help policymaking, we should give more importance to asking questions that matter.
In this regard, some of the findings of Goodwin’s research on ISIS were very different from what we are accustomed to hear in public discourse.
If the terrorist imagery is now so present in public discourse, it is very important to understand what it is and what it is not
For example, he reported that even though Tunisia provides the largest number of ISIS recruits in absolute terms, a more accurate quantitative analysis reveals a different story.
A look at recruits’ nationality per capita shows that fighters are more likely to come from democratic, affluent countries. They are also more likely to come from relatively ethnically homogeneous societies where Muslims are a minority. Examples in this regard include Finland, Sweden, Austria, Denmark and Belgium.
Goodwin then delved into a real-life micro-example of two Belgian brothers with radically different life outcomes, namely Najim and Mourad Laachraoui. They came from the same family and had similar upbringing. Yet, Najim became a bomb maker and suicide bomber. Mourad, on the other hand, became a medal-winning sportsman who proudly waves the Belgian flag. So why did one integrate in Belgian society and the other one not? “We don’t know” is what Goodwin could humbly reply, before deconstructing popular opinions on terrorists.
For example, the ‘Muslims are terrorists’ hypothesis is incredibly simplistic. Indeed, how can we explain one terrorist out of, say, 30,000 Muslims sociologically? And what about terrorists who are not Muslims?
The ‘youth’ rebellion hypothesis is not necessarily useful. Sure, some young people join ISIS but others join national armies to fight ISIS, and many many others have motivations which have nothing to do with this issue.
The ‘social media’ hypothesis has gaps too. It is not only ISIS which uses the internet but practically society in general.
Some people do opt for psychological terrorism but others would seek Pokemon and songs on YouTube. Or chatting with their grandmother. Besides, more and more social movements of different stripes and colours are using Facebook and Twitter nowadays.
The ‘radicalisation’ hypothesis is problematic too, according to Goodwin. Again, yes there are Muslim radicals in ISIS’ ranks. There are also recent converts but there are also ISIS fighters who don’t really know or understand what Islam is about. And there are many, many Muslims who oppose ISIS tooth and nail.
Therefore, more data is needed to understand the motivation of such persons, unless we are content with crass generalisations. And this presents us with a huge research dilemma.
To study the motivations of such individuals, a biographical approach could be most useful. Here, the focus is on qualitative and long face-to-face interviews, in line with established research methods and ethical procedures.
Yet, this is easier said than done.
One main quandary is the lack of access to such persons. In the case of Najim Laachraoui, he is dead, as is the case with other suicide bombers or fighters. Others are active in inaccessible places like ISIS territory. And others are in prison, which are not likely to be very accessible to sociologists and other researchers.
Perhaps the biggest quandary of all is that there are many other potential or actual ISIS recruits who we don’t know about and who might hit the news headlines in the future.

Vienna, July 2016: World-famous sociologist Jeff Goodwin discussing ISIS at #ISA16 #RC47. Reminded me of Max Weber's concept of verstehen. Trying to understand motivations of ISIS recruits. A fascinating presentation.

2 comments:

Jon Camilleri said...

It seems evident to me that the motivation is political, they are evidently inspired by movies created in Hollywood and use war techniques used in Holy Crusades in the past, but using even modern tools to infiltrate.

Right wing activists and politicians claim that there ought to be more radicalized bureaucratic avoidance of certain ethnic groups, which is information one can easily collate by questioning dozens of corporate platforms that hold such information [e.g. recruitment platforms], and, a thorough analysis of profiles to try to come down to risk-based profiles.

Such ought to be the responsibility of the state to investigate, as this relates to criminal investigation and surely big data would help if information could be coherently shared across the platforms available.

Information however is not enough, action is unfortunately required to restore the world to a form of a peace treaty. Political acceptance in different places differs discrimination is perceived to occur systematically and down to the level of the layman.

It's not the first time someone uses a machete to threaten even the police force, this is clearly a form of rebellion.

The politicians appear to shun away from analyzing the root causes of social conflict, probably living in a villa with a large pool, this creates anger and frustration in the minds of Les Miserables.

At the sake of sounding like an idealist, military action and border control only temporarily safeguard the borders, there are solutions to world hunger and to the other causes of conflict that states have not yet bothered to take action upon.

Here in Malta, the act of kicking of the can down the road is incredible, and, is deplorable.

Jon Camilleri said...

You might want to follow these pages:

Foreign lands - https://www.facebook.com/ForeignDuckHead/?fref=ts.
Crime Today - https://www.facebook.com/Crime-Today-230227330509126/?fref=ts
Huffpost crime - https://www.facebook.com/HuffPostCrime/?fref=ts.
Other resources include Mirror.co.uk, MSN.COM, and, all the links within the above pages.

These are my links - http://delicious.com/jon80.

Right wing groups - https://www.facebook.com/groups/siotw/.
https://www.facebook.com/stop.islamization?fref=ts
https://www.facebook.com/SIOTW.Scandinavia/?fref=ts

I suggest information systems that read through these links and to start with match keywords for useful information.

I also suggest systems that query geo-spatial systems, military systems and map servers e.g. Google Maps and so on.

Some APIs are available to the open source community one has to work towards an integrated system that captures valuable information.

https://wikileaks.org/ is an interesting collection of emails as well, as is the Dark Web as per article at http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2476003,00.asp.

Download Tor Browser and you're ready to go, however care is recommended, you are dealing with people whose identity you do not know.

See https://www.torproject.org/.
MIRC (http://www.mirror.co.uk/) is a crafty chat client, as are ICQ, Yahoo Messenger and others used for messaging all sorts of messages.

Then there's plenty of books on cyber-crime on Google Books and at your favorite library a lot of people seem to take interest in such topics for some reason.